Friday, March 28, 2008

Well... shit.

He Died From a Love of Poetry

1 comment:

Gabi said...

Correlation does not imply causation! Really it doesn't!

Anyone planning to do statistical research--or really, anyone who is interested in trying to understand what's happening in the world around them--should say that to themselves regularly. When we fail to remember this, we come to completely nonsensical conclusions about cause and effect that aren't remotely borne out by the evidence.

Kaufman's conclusion: "It is hoped that the data presented here will help poets and mental-health professionals find ways to lessen what appears to be a sometimes negative impact of writing poetry on mortality and mental health." seems to imply that his data shows that writing poetry can negatively impact your mortality and mental health. This is not only in no way proven by the data, but in fact seems to me like the least likely explanation of the poet/early death correlation, given my personal experience with poets. I think the causality runs the other way: people with difficult, precarious lives often write poetry to try to preserve some semblance of sanity. The poetry isn't endangering them! I would bet, in fact, that it is making their sanity and longevity greater than they otherwise would have been, even if they remain at a disadvantage compared to the rest of the population.